Theme 01

Governance, Institutional Integrity & the Security-Development Nexus

Lens. Political, not administrative
Focus. Power, incentives, accountability
Region. Tunisia, Algeria, Libya, MENA

Governance failure is the structural root of most of North Africa's most acute problems. Yet the term itself is often used so loosely that it loses analytical purchase.

We analyse governance not as an administrative phenomenon but as a political and social one — examining the distribution of power, the incentives facing institutions, the erosion of accountability mechanisms, and the ways in which governance fragility produces security and development deficits. The work is grounded in primary research, structured interviews with insider actors, and institutional analysis that takes politics seriously rather than treating it as a constraint to be planned around.

Our governance research focuses particularly on the period since the Arab Spring and its subsequent reversals — examining what worked, what did not, and what the next decade of governance reform in the region will need to confront.

Thematic sub-areas

  • Post-transition governance challenges and democratic backsliding in North Africa
  • Security sector governance, civilian oversight, and reform
  • Anti-corruption frameworks, institutional accountability, and rule of law
  • The shrinking space for civil society and independent institutions
  • Institutional reform design and implementation in constrained environments
  • The security-development nexus: how governance failure produces extremism, displacement, and economic stagnation
Theme 02

P/CVE, Peacebuilding & Community Resilience

Origin. Grounded in field implementation
Approach. Context-specific, not generic CVE
Region. Tunisia, Libya, Sahel interface

Programmes that ignore conflict dynamics do not just fail — they often deepen the conflicts they were meant to help resolve.

Our peacebuilding and P/CVE work draws on years of field experience implementing community-based prevention programmes, designing national counter-terrorism strategy components, and conducting youth vulnerability analyses across some of the region's most contested environments. This is not generic CVE programming — it is analysis grounded in the specific ideological, social, and political dynamics of North Africa and the Sahel.

We work with donors and implementing organisations on conflict analysis, programme design, Do No Harm integration, and the methodological questions that determine whether prevention work strengthens or undermines the contexts it operates in.

Thematic sub-areas

  • Structural and proximate drivers of radicalisation in North African contexts
  • Community-based prevention approaches and social cohesion programming
  • Gender dimensions of violent extremism and radicalisation
  • CVE programme design, ethics, monitoring, and evaluation
  • Counter-terrorism strategy support and Do No Harm integration
  • Sahel-North Africa connectivity: cross-border dynamics, transnational networks, regional spillovers
  • Reconciliation, transitional justice, and post-conflict peacebuilding
Theme 03

Displacement, Livelihoods & Economic Recovery in Fragile Contexts

Frame. Development, not migration management
Methods. Market systems, LMA, M4P
Region. North Africa & the Sahel

Economies recover when intervention compounds rather than dissipates. Designing for that requires understanding markets as they actually function — not as they appear in a sector strategy.

North Africa sits at the intersection of displacement and migration dynamics that shape European policy debates as much as regional ones. We analyse these phenomena not as migration management problems but as development, governance, and economic challenges requiring structural responses.

Our team has led market systems analyses, designed labour market assessments, and implemented MSME and private sector engagement programmes across Algeria, Libya, and Tunisia. The questions we are best positioned to answer: which value chains genuinely have potential, where intervention will build durable economic infrastructure versus subsidised fragility, and how livelihoods programmes connect to the formal economies they sit alongside.

Thematic sub-areas

  • Forced displacement governance, durable solutions, and protection systems in North Africa
  • Youth economic inclusion and livelihoods programming in post-crisis and fragile settings
  • Labour market assessments and market systems analysis in constrained environments
  • Self-reliance pathways, skills ecosystems, and vocational training relevance
  • Private sector engagement and MSME support in fragile economic contexts
  • Migration governance, mixed flows, and the rights-development nexus
Theme 04

Research, Evidence & Knowledge Production

Stance. Evidence as governance commitment
Methods. Mixed-methods, multi-disciplinary
Audience. Decision-makers, not journals

Evidence-based policy is not simply a methodology — it is a governance commitment.

We treat knowledge production as a public good and invest in strengthening the evidence systems that allow institutions to make better decisions. Our research designs are rigorous yet practical: built to generate insights that are scientifically defensible and directly useful to decision-makers operating under time and resource constraints.

Increasingly, this practice also produces our own published work — policy briefs, working papers, country assessments, and forthcoming flagship publications on the state of governance, security, and economic recovery in North Africa. Public goods, when we judge them useful to the field.

Thematic sub-areas

  • Applied policy research design and mixed-methods assessment in complex environments
  • Theory of change development and MEAL system design in fragile and conflict contexts
  • Learning, capitalization, and knowledge management for institutional actors
  • Evidence synthesis and systematic review for policy audiences
  • Research ethics, informed consent, and Do No Harm in sensitive research contexts

Five service lines, one institutional standard.

Our portfolio spans five interconnected service and product areas. These can be engaged independently or as part of an integrated, multi-component programme of support — each strengthening the others through cumulative knowledge, shared methodology, and reinforcing institutional credibility.

Line 01

Policy Research & Knowledge Products

Independent analytical publications produced under Complexia's name — the cornerstone of our institutional identity and the primary vehicle for advancing the field. Knowledge products serve a dual function: they contribute to public debate, and they establish our analytical credibility.

Output types
Policy briefs (4–8 pages)
Working papers (15–30 pages)
Annual thematic reports
Country risk & context notes
Evidence synthesis & literature reviews
Op-eds & policy commentary
Line 02

Strategic Advisory & Consulting

High-value strategic advisory for institutional clients requiring evidence-based guidance on complex decisions. Advisory engagements are structured around depth of analysis rather than volume of output — the goal is to change what our clients decide, not to fill their inboxes.

Engagement types
Strategic advisory retainers
Programme design & theory of change
Context & conflict analysis
Strategic planning support
Decision-support & scenario analysis
Peer review & quality assurance
Line 03

Commissioned Research & Technical Assistance

Analytical and evaluation work commissioned by donors, INGOs, UN agencies, and implementing partners — the full range of evidence work that institutional decisions actually require. This is the work that funds the institution while building its reputation.

Engagement types
Labour Market Assessments (LMAs)
Baseline, midline & endline evaluations
Programme reviews & learning studies
Feasibility & scoping assessments
Primary data collection programmes
Case study research
Line 04

Training, Capacity Building & Executive Support

Translating analytical expertise into practitioner capability. Programmes are highly contextualised — drawing on regional evidence and case studies rather than generic frameworks — and designed for the senior practitioners who actually make implementation decisions.

Programme types
P/CVE programme design & ethics
Conflict-sensitive programming workshops
Evidence-based programme design & MEL
Research methods in complex environments
Executive coaching for institutional leaders
Strategic communication training
Line 05

Policy Convenings & Strategic Dialogues

Convenings are both a service and an institutional positioning tool. By facilitating high-quality dialogue among relevant actors, we establish ourselves as a neutral convening authority and build the institutional relationships that underpin long-term partnerships.

Format types
Closed-door expert roundtables
Programme learning events
North Africa Policy Forum (aspirational)
Webinars & online seminars

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